Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022?

Resolved :2.16k2.4k
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2.4k (2.01k - 2.84k)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>12k
...
...
...
...
2.011k
2.402k
2.838k
0.1%

What was the final result?2.16k

Community Baseline Score
65.3
Community Peer Score
29.7
Learn more about scores here.
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