Question

When will P = NP be settled?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction2076-10-02 (2046-07-10 - 2121-12-31)

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

>2121-12-31

...

2046-07-10 07:27

2076-10-02 14:38

>2121-12-31 00:00

31.3%

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Authors:

ege_erdil

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Logic

Millennium Prize Problems

Clay Mathematics Institute

P versus NP problem

Mysterious Constant that Makes Mathematicians Despair

Scientific American•Dec 19, 2024

Google says its breakthrough quantum chip can’t break modern cryptography

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

2030-11-05

Does P = NP?

4.9%

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

2034-03-14

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Logic

Millennium Prize Problems

Clay Mathematics Institute

P versus NP problem

Mysterious Constant that Makes Mathematicians Despair

Scientific American•Dec 19, 2024

Google says its breakthrough quantum chip can’t break modern cryptography

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

2030-11-05

Does P = NP?

4.9%

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

2034-03-14

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When will P = NP be settled?

Make a Prediction

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Does P = NP?

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

Comments

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Does P = NP?

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Does P = NP?

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Does P = NP?

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?