Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack?

Resolved :1816.7
10
17
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction16.7 (15.5 - 19.1)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500
...
...
...
...
15.51
16.73
19.09
0.1%

What was the final result?18

Community Baseline Score
65.3
Community Peer Score
15.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
converse
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Verity
Law
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Seditious conspiracy
Oath Keepers
US Department of Justice

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