M

Question

Will an Eliciting Latent Knowledge prize of $50,000 be awarded?

Resolved :No
4
3
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction31%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 31%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
41.0
Community Peer Score
2.2
median 31.0%mean 30.1%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Artificial Intelligence
Psychology
Paul Christiano
John C. Maxwell

Comments

? comments