Question

Will Russian troops enter Kyiv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

157 comments157

Total Forecasters760

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 25.0%mean 25.3%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Geopolitics

Russia–Ukraine border

Kiev

Ukraine

National Guard of Russia

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

60%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Geopolitics

Russia–Ukraine border

Kiev

Ukraine

National Guard of Russia

Ukraine’s army readies for high-stakes fight against Russia as winter nears

Al Jazeera•Oct 23, 2024

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Associated Press•Oct 24, 2024

What would North Korean troops in Russia mean for the war with Ukraine?

PBS NewsHour•Oct 24, 2024

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Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

60%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%