Question

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters88

Community Prediction2049-06-10 (2040-02-29 - 2059-07-27)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2070-01-01

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2040-02-29 20:19

2049-06-10 14:56

2059-07-27 06:39

12.0%

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Helion

International Energy Agency

Nuclear fusion

Physics

Energy

Nuclear Energy Agency

Helion Energy

Commonwealth Fusion Systems

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Energy generators poke holes in Dutton’s nuclear plan as questions over costings pile up

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2078-05-25

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

17%

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

7.27

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Helion

International Energy Agency

Nuclear fusion

Physics

Energy

Nuclear Energy Agency

Helion Energy

Commonwealth Fusion Systems

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Energy generators poke holes in Dutton’s nuclear plan as questions over costings pile up

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2078-05-25

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

17%

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

7.27

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When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Make a Prediction

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

Comments

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?