Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022?

Resolved :178178
12
35
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction178 (173 - 182)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>300
...
...
...
...
173.4
177.9
182.1
0.1%

What was the final result?178

Community Baseline Score
65.6
Community Peer Score
14.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
evanbd
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Technology
2022 Leaderboard
Wikipedia

Comments

? comments