M

Question

How much better will the Metaculus Prediction be on continuous questions be, relative to the Community Prediction, over the 365-day period following its next update?

7
14
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction1.01

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<0.95
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1.15
...
...
...
...
...
2.4%
0.9939
1.011
1.034
4.1%
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Metaculus
Logarithmic scale

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