Question
How much better will the Metaculus Prediction be on continuous questions be, relative to the Community Prediction, over the 365-day period following its next update?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction1.01 (0.995 - 1.03)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
community<0.95
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1.15
...
...
...
...
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2.1%
0.995
1.011
1.032
3.6%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 17, 2022
Closes:May 26, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 26, 2026
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 17, 2022
Closes:May 26, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 26, 2026