Question

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction40% (30% - 46%)

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50%

community: 40%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Tay–Sachs disease

Dor Yeshorim

Shimon Glick

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

For kids with rare genetic disorders, customized CRISPR treatments offer hope

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

78%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Tay–Sachs disease

Dor Yeshorim

Shimon Glick

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

For kids with rare genetic disorders, customized CRISPR treatments offer hope

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

78%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?