Question

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction40% (30% - 46%)

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50%

community: 40%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Tay–Sachs disease

Dor Yeshorim

Shimon Glick

How To Turn Around US Birth Rates, According to Project 2025 Group

Newsweek•Dec 11, 2024

S. Africa’s new research guidelines not a green light for heritable human genome editing

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

Designer Babies Are Teenagers Now—and Some of Them Need Therapy Because of It

Wired•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

78%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Tay–Sachs disease

Dor Yeshorim

Shimon Glick

How To Turn Around US Birth Rates, According to Project 2025 Group

Newsweek•Dec 11, 2024

S. Africa’s new research guidelines not a green light for heritable human genome editing

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

Designer Babies Are Teenagers Now—and Some of Them Need Therapy Because of It

Wired•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

78%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

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Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?