Question

Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

23 comments23

Total Forecasters263

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

8.9

Community Peer Score

5.0

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

National Guard of Russia

Mapped: Where has Russia made advances on the frontline in Ukraine?

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Ukraine-Russia war map: Where Putin’s forces are making gains in eastern Ukraine

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Ukraine War Map Reveals Russian Advances Near Frontline Towns

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

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Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

79%

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

0.2%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

National Guard of Russia

Mapped: Where has Russia made advances on the frontline in Ukraine?

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Ukraine-Russia war map: Where Putin’s forces are making gains in eastern Ukraine

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Ukraine War Map Reveals Russian Advances Near Frontline Towns

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

79%

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

0.2%