Question
Question
How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)?
Resolved :2.1×10²⁵Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction1.3×10²⁵
Make a Prediction
My Prediction
community<1×10²²
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10²⁷
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0.2%
4.9×10²⁴
1.3×10²⁵
2.9×10²⁵
0.5%
What was the final result?2.1×10²⁵
Community Baseline Score
30.5
Community Peer Score
16.2
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