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M

Question

How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)?

Resolved :2.1×10²⁵1.3×10²⁵
11
15
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction1.3×10²⁵ (4.9×10²⁴ - 2.9×10²⁵)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1×10²²
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10²⁷
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
4.9×10²⁴
1.3×10²⁵
2.9×10²⁵
0.5%

What was the final result?2.1×10²⁵

Community Baseline Score
30.5
Community Peer Score
16.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
2022-2023 Leaderboard
FLOPS
Measurement
Machine learning
Information technology
Linguistics
OpenAI
GPT2

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