Question

Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?

Resolved :No1%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters200

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

91.0

Community Peer Score

8.2

Authors:

jonathanjouty

Opened:

Feb 2, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

United Nations Security Council

Belarus

Alexander Lukashenko

Belarus–Russia relations

Russia

Belarus strongman set to win a 7th term in an election the opposition calls a farce

Associated Press•Jan 26, 2025

Polls open in Belarus with Lukashenko’s 30-year rule set to be extended

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

Belarus president set to extend 30-year rule as critics slam ‘sham’ election

CNN•Jan 26, 2025

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