Question

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction78% (68% - 90%)

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50%

community: 78%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regenerative medicine

Science and technology in Israel

Israel's Use of AI in Gaza May Be Setting a New Warfare Norm

Time•Dec 19, 2024

For thousands of Jews, Israel still doesn’t feel safe after the Oct. 7 attacks. So they’re leaving

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%

Comments

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regenerative medicine

Science and technology in Israel

Israel's Use of AI in Gaza May Be Setting a New Warfare Norm

Time•Dec 19, 2024

For thousands of Jews, Israel still doesn’t feel safe after the Oct. 7 attacks. So they’re leaving

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%