Question

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction78% (68% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 78%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 26, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Environmental science

Cyber-security regulation

Intelligence quotient

Will genome editing transform our children's health? Some have doubts

New Scientist•Jan 22, 2025

Being the “Moral” Barbarian

CounterPunch•Jan 23, 2025

Predicting 2025: Bye-bye Bibi?

offGuardian•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%

Comments

? comments