Question

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction78% (68% - 90%)

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50%

community: 78%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regenerative medicine

Science and technology in Israel

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

For kids with rare genetic disorders, customized CRISPR treatments offer hope

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regenerative medicine

Science and technology in Israel

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Thousands of Jews have left Israel since the October 7 attacks

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

For kids with rare genetic disorders, customized CRISPR treatments offer hope

NPR Online News•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

22%

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Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Comments

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?