Question

What will South Korea's fertility be in 2032?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction0.685

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<0.3

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.9%

0.562

0.6849

0.8528

0.2%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

World Bank

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs

South Korea

What will be Russia's fertility rate (in births per woman) in 2027?

1.34

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

73%

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

World Bank

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs

South Korea

China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say

CNBC•Nov 11, 2024

Why China's Birth Rate Plans Aren't Working

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

As 4B takes the world by storm, South Korea is grappling with a backlash against feminism

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be Russia's fertility rate (in births per woman) in 2027?

1.34

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

73%