Question

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

median 15.0%mean 17.5%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Genetics

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Genetics

China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say

CNBC•Nov 11, 2024

New method could increase fertility for women undergoing IVF and egg freezing

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Why China's Birth Rate Plans Aren't Working

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%