Question

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction15% (10% - 20%)

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50%

community: 15%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Genetics

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Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Genetics

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Pentagon’s annual China-power report notes nuclear, influence threats—but also corruption

Defense One•Dec 19, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?