Question

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction5% (2.1% - 8%)

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50%

community: 5%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

United States

Medicine

Reproductive medicine

Abortion in the United States

Republican Party (US)

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Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

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Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In vitro fertilisation

United States

Medicine

Reproductive medicine

Abortion in the United States

Republican Party (US)

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

America's Next Chapter

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

US city offering to PAY pregnant women thousands 'with no strings attached' amid falling fertility rates

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?