Question
When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human?
Resolved :Jan 28, 20242024-08-22Total Forecasters111
Community Prediction2024-08-22 (2024-01-22 - 2026-04-12)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jan 2024 | — |
| median | Aug 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2035-01-01 | 5.0% | — |
What was the final result?Jan 28, 2024
Community Baseline Score
43.8
Community Peer Score
23.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
