Question

When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human?

Resolved :Jan 28, 2024

30 comments30

Total Forecasters111

Community Prediction2024-08-22

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2035-01-01

...

2024-01-22 12:01

2024-08-22 11:29

2026-04-12 20:06

5.0%

What was the final result?Jan 28, 2024

Community Baseline Score

43.8

Community Peer Score

23.6

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06-12

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02-13

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

40%

Comments

? comments