Question
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2052-08-27 (2033-09-01 - 2076-09-10)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2033 | — |
| median | 2052 | — |
| upper 75% | 2076 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100-01-01 | 16.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2102
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2102
