Question

Will the Supreme Court find Harvard's admissions unlawful in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?

Resolved :Yes91%

13 comments13

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction91% (89% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 91%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

10.2

Community Peer Score

1.4

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Authors:

abricinthewall

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Law

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

Supreme Court of the US

Scholarship programs slapped with lawsuits for alleged discrimination against White men

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Harvard Lets Students Know If They Got In Early But Public Will Have To Wait

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Little Change In Law School Minority Enrollment After SCOTUS Decision

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

abricinthewall

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Law

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

Supreme Court of the US

Scholarship programs slapped with lawsuits for alleged discrimination against White men

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Harvard Lets Students Know If They Got In Early But Public Will Have To Wait

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Little Change In Law School Minority Enrollment After SCOTUS Decision

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

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Will the Supreme Court find Harvard's admissions unlawful in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Comments

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?