Question

Will the Supreme Court end racial preferences in university admissions in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?

Resolved :Yes93%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction93% (88% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

10.4

Community Peer Score

1.9

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Authors:

abricinthewall

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Supreme Court of the US

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

University of North Carolina

Scholarship programs slapped with lawsuits for alleged discrimination against White men

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Harvard Lets Students Know If They Got In Early But Public Will Have To Wait

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Beyond Admissions: Colleges React to Supreme Court Ruling on Race

Time•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

abricinthewall

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Supreme Court of the US

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

University of North Carolina

Scholarship programs slapped with lawsuits for alleged discrimination against White men

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Harvard Lets Students Know If They Got In Early But Public Will Have To Wait

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Beyond Admissions: Colleges React to Supreme Court Ruling on Race

Time•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

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Will the Supreme Court end racial preferences in university admissions in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Comments

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?