Question
Will the Supreme Court end racial preferences in university admissions in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters114
Community Prediction
93%
(88% - 99%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
10.4
Community Peer Score
1.9
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?
62%
Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?
40%
Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?
44%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?
62%
Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?
40%
Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?
44%