Question

What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?

Resolved :128k125k

2 comments2

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction125k (122k - 127k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>150k

...

122.2k

124.5k

126.6k

0.6%

What was the final result?128k

Community Baseline Score

21.9

Community Peer Score

61.8

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Memphis vs. Virginia prediction, odds: 2024 college basketball picks, December 18 best bets by proven model

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8