Question

By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters133

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

94.6

Community Peer Score

5.5

median 1.0%mean 1.3%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Ukraine–NATO relations

US Armed Forces

Florida National Guard

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025?

18%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

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