Question

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction2031-01-15 (2028-01-11 - 2034-08-22)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2038-01-01

...

2028-01-11 03:34

2031-01-15 03:15

2034-08-22 01:22

9.4%

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Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine

Liver acid could be ‘elixir’ to extend life, scientists say

Independent•Dec 20, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

90%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine

Liver acid could be ‘elixir’ to extend life, scientists say

Independent•Dec 20, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

90%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

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When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Make a Prediction

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Comments

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?