Question

Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Resolved :Annulled

3 comments3

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 10.0%mean 16.8%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Natural Sciences

Preimplantation genetic diagnosis

Genetics

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

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Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

17%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Natural Sciences

Preimplantation genetic diagnosis

Genetics

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Poll: One in Three Say Migration Should Be Top Priority for the President’s First 100 Days in 2025

Breitbart•Oct 29, 2024

Elon Musk once offered RFK Jr’s running mate Nicole Shanahan his sperm, claims report

Independent•Oct 30, 2024

Election ’24: Responsible AI

•Oct 30, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

17%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%