Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election?

Resolved :Yes78%
18
8
Total Forecasters127
Community Prediction78% (69% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 78%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
25.9
Community Peer Score
5.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
nostradamnedus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
2022 Hungarian parliamentary election
Unity (Hungary)
Péter Márki-Zay
Fidesz
National Assembly (Hungary)
Hungary
Viktor Orbán

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