Question
If a Republican wins the 2024 US Presidential Election, will the US withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement before 2029?
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction85% (80% - 90%)
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Will the US start the process of withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement before January 1, 2026?
75%
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change? (2028)
What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?
4.86B
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Authors:
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the US start the process of withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement before January 1, 2026?
75%
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change? (2028)
What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?
4.86B