Question
When will China first successfully land people on Mars?
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction2046-12-18 (2041-01-17 - 2055-12-05)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jan 2041 | — |
| median | Dec 2046 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2055 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2070-01-01 | 6.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2070
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2070
