Question

When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk?

Resolved :Above upper bound2023-01-01

15 comments15

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction2023-01-01 (2023-01-01 - 2023-01-01)

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2023-01-01

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>2023-01-01 00:00

75.2%

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Authors:

ethulin

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Health & Pandemics

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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

223

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Biden Quietly Extends Covid 'Emergency Declaration' to Protect Big Pharma From Liability Until 2029

Townhall•Dec 19, 2024

InnovationRx: A Bird Flu Emergency

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

FDA: Weight loss drug Zepbound, diabetes drug Mounjaro no longer in shortage

USA Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

223

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk?

Make a Prediction

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Comments

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?