Question

What percent of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on January 1, 2050?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction25.4 (19.6 - 32.2)

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CDF

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

19.63

25.37

32.18

Authors:

samuelraasch casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

E. O. Wilson

Convention on Biological Diversity

Earth

Window to stop decline of England’s nature closing fast, watchdog says

Guardian•Jan 16, 2025

‘We are resting on our laurels’: Scotland faces significant challenge to protect its environment

Guardian•Jan 19, 2025

Nearly one in four freshwater fish species, crustaceans and dragonflies are at 'high risk of' extinction, scientists warn

Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percent of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?

16.3

What percent of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?

8.39

Biodiversity, Keystone Species, and E.O. Wilson's Half Earth

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