Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?

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15 comments15

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Community Prediction3.01k (2.04k - 4.06k)

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

>30k

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2.045k

3.011k

4.059k

0.1%

What was the final result?2.86k

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Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5

Health & Pandemics

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Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?