Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?

Resolved :1.33k1.71k
2
4
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction1.71k (1.24k - 2.22k)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30k
...
...
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1.245k
1.711k
2.225k
0.1%

What was the final result?1.33k

Community Baseline Score
108.4
Community Peer Score
8.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
srinivv
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5
Health & Pandemics
2022 Leaderboard
Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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