Question

Will Russia recognize a breakaway state of any territories claimed by Ukraine by 2023?

18 comments18

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50%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:

nostradamnedus

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

2022 Leaderboard

Donetsk People's Republic

Luhansk People's Republic

Russia

Putin Ally Says 'New, Very Close Regions' Could Join Russia

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Ukraine Will Have to Give Up Territory for Peace: NATO Leader

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Russia Sets Out 2025 Ukraine Goal

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?

0.1%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

23%

Comments

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Authors:

nostradamnedus

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

2022 Leaderboard

Donetsk People's Republic

Luhansk People's Republic

Russia

Putin Ally Says 'New, Very Close Regions' Could Join Russia

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Ukraine Will Have to Give Up Territory for Peace: NATO Leader

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Russia Sets Out 2025 Ukraine Goal

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?

0.1%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

23%