Question

What will be the number of unmanned aircraft sightings (UAS) in 2022?

Resolved :1.82k

24 comments24

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2.29k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1.2k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.9k

...

0.5%

2.057k

2.295k

2.653k

13.0%

What was the final result?1.82k

Community Baseline Score

-94.9

Community Peer Score

22.7

Authors:

H559

Opened:

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Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

56%

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.52k

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Authors:

H559

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Annual UFO report finds 21 cases of more than 700 received need more analysis

CBS•Nov 15, 2024

Pentagon says nearly two dozen UFO sightings can’t be explained: ‘True anomalies’

New York Post•Nov 15, 2024

Pentagon UFO Report Shows Hundreds of New Incidents

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

56%

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.52k