Question

What will be the number of unmanned aircraft sightings (UAS) in 2022?

Resolved :1.82k

24 comments24

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2.29k

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My Prediction

community

<1k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2k

...

0.5%

2.06k

2.29k

2.65k

13.0%

What was the final result?1.82k

Authors:

BellardiaLemonus

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Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

56%

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.49k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BellardiaLemonus

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Drone deliveries, slow to take flight, come to Silicon Valley

NBC•Oct 4, 2024

Ukraine appears to be beating Russia in the drone production race

Business Insider•Oct 5, 2024

Surge in Helene relief efforts led to about 30 mid-air close calls over North Carolina in a single day

CBS•Oct 5, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

56%

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.49k

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What will be the number of unmanned aircraft sightings (UAS) in 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

Comments

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?