Question

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction18 (15.3 - 23.4)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500

...

15.27

23.38

0.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Astronomical Union

Virology

World Health Organization

Microbiology

Epidemiology

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

COVID’s End-of-Year Surprise

Atlantic•Dec 21, 2024

From enshittocene to virome, science and technology's words of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Astronomical Union

Virology

World Health Organization

Microbiology

Epidemiology

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

COVID’s End-of-Year Surprise

Atlantic•Dec 21, 2024

From enshittocene to virome, science and technology's words of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

Make a Prediction

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Comments

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?