Question

Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

39 comments39

Total Forecasters387

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

36.4

Community Peer Score

31.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

ClayGraubard

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

News Analysis: Russian general’s assassination in Moscow: Chilling new phase in Ukraine war?

•Dec 18, 2024

Map Shows North Korean Advance as Casualties in Ukraine Surpass 200 Troops

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

‘Many more Russian war criminals on our list’: Ukraine vows more attacks

Al Jazeera•Dec 21, 2024

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0.5%

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0.1%

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