Question

Will Ukraine fulfill its Minsk-II obligations in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblast by 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous

38 comments38

Total Forecasters147

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

ClayGraubard

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Minsk Protocol

Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin

Joe Biden

President of Russia

United States

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

0.5%

Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ClayGraubard

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Minsk Protocol

Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin

Joe Biden

President of Russia

United States

Ukraine latest: Bad news mounts for Ukraine across the frontlines. But Russia is under pressure too

CNN•Nov 16, 2024

Zelensky says Ukraine must do all it can for war to end next year through diplomacy

New York Post•Nov 16, 2024

Ukraine's Zelenskyy says he wants to end war with Russia through diplomacy next year

CBS•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

0.5%