Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

[short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics?

Resolved :Yes60%
4
8
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction60% (56% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
13.0
Community Peer Score
15.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Sports & Entertainment
2022 Leaderboard
2022 Winter Olympics
Virology
China
Beijing
Public health
Norway
Medicine

Comments

? comments