Question

Will any jurisdiction adopt futarchy by 2070?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction12% (9% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Authors:

H559

Opened:

Feb 10, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2070

Higher egg prices and more tariffs: What betting markets see for inflation and trade policy

Business Insider•Feb 15, 2025

2025 Market Outlooks Are Out, Monthly Ones Are In (And Have Been)

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Outstanding in His Field

Lew Rockwell•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?

33%

Competing Institutional Solutions to Housing Supply Restrictions

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

12%

Comments

? comments