Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will someone in the U.S. be killed by a drone before 2018 is up?

Resolved :No15%
15
20
Total Forecasters194
Community Prediction15% (5% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
64.2
Community Peer Score
13.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AdamKosloff
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Walmart
Military science
Robotics
Unmanned aerial vehicle
United States
Aerospace engineering

Comments

? comments