Question

Will someone in the U.S. be killed by a drone before 2018 is up?

Resolved :No15%

20 comments20

Total Forecasters194

Community Prediction15% (5% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

64.2

Community Peer Score

13.9

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Jun 19, 2018

Closes:

Sep 15, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2019

Unmanned aerial vehicle

United States

Aerospace engineering

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Newsweek•Mar 1, 2025

How a covert U.S. drone program in Mexico led to arrest of drug kingpins like El Chapo

Independent•Mar 1, 2025

Insane drone footage shows the heart-stopping moment senior Al-Qaeda leader is taken out in US airstrike

Daily Mail•Mar 2, 2025

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