Question

When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parent(s) for doing so?

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction2050-09-13 (2039-03-30 - 2063-01-29)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2084-12-31
community	2039	2050	2063	6.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2039	—
median	2050	—
upper 75%	2063	—
Upper bound
>2084-12-31	6.9%	—

Authors:

H559

Opened:

Feb 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

A woman gave birth to a baby via IVF then realized it wasn't hers. 5 months later, she lost custody.

Business Insider•Feb 18, 2025

Designer Babies Are Teenagers Now—and Some of Them Need Therapy Because of It

Wired•Feb 19, 2025

Georgia woman says she'll "never fully recover" after IVF mix-up leads to her losing custody of 5-month-old baby

CBS•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

2057-02-01

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

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Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?

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