Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
12
32
Total Forecasters155
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.8
Community Peer Score
12.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
emilowk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2022 Leaderboard
Éric Zemmour
France
2022 French presidential election

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