Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction587 (86.1 - 3.17k)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
...
...
1.4%
86.13
586.9
3.17k
3.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

? comments