Question

Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction39.5% (32% - 51%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 39.5%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Feb 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Natural Sciences

Genetics

Democratic Party (US)

US Congress

Medicine

Reproductive medicine

Republican Party (US)

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

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