Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”?

Resolved :57.724.5
4
2
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction24.5 (13 - 38.2)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
12.99
24.53
38.23

What was the final result?57.7

Community Baseline Score
-37.8
Community Peer Score
53.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jacyanthis
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Artificial Intelligence
Social Sciences
2022 Leaderboard
United States
Ipsos
Sentience Institute

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