Question

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2024?

Resolved :No

48 comments48

Total Forecasters379

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-22.5

Community Peer Score

26.6

median 1.0%mean 8.2%

Authors:

ZeekAran

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

Decriminalization of non-medical cannabis in the United States

Cannabis (drug)

Controlled Substances Act

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Marijuana Election Results in Four States

Newsweek•Nov 7, 2024

DeSantis-opposed Florida weed measure fails to get 60% voter approval

MSNBC•Nov 7, 2024

Trio of ballot failures leads marijuana backers to refocus their efforts for recreational weed

Associated Press•Nov 7, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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70%

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

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