Question

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2024?

Resolved:No

48 comments48

Total Forecasters379

Community Prediction

(0.5% - 9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-22.5

Community Peer Score

26.6

Authors:

ZeekAran

Opened:

Jun 22, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 23, 2018

Law

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Decriminalization of non-medical cannabis in the United States

Cannabis (drug)

Controlled Substances Act

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Supreme Court sides with trucker fired after CBD product triggered failed drug test

CNN•Apr 2, 2025

Supreme Court sides with truck driver who said CBD got him fired

USA Today•Apr 2, 2025

Trump pressured to join Joe Rogan in push to declassify marijuana for research

Daily Mail•Apr 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

59.7

When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?

27 Nov 2029

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ZeekAran

Opened:

Jun 22, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 23, 2018

Law

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Decriminalization of non-medical cannabis in the United States

Cannabis (drug)

Controlled Substances Act

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Supreme Court sides with trucker fired after CBD product triggered failed drug test

CNN•Apr 2, 2025

Supreme Court sides with truck driver who said CBD got him fired

USA Today•Apr 2, 2025

Trump pressured to join Joe Rogan in push to declassify marijuana for research

Daily Mail•Apr 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

59.7

When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?

27 Nov 2029

MetaculusM

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?

Comments

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?

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